Home > Uncategorized > Nobody asked for it, so you're getting it anyway.

Nobody asked for it, so you're getting it anyway.

That's right, more electoral vote blogging.

State of the nation today, according to Electoral-vote.com:

Couple of interesting things up on the board today from my perspective:

1. Hawaii's red. That's a surprise. Gore took Hawaii by 18.3%. Is this some local quirk or a harbinger? No idea. The poll was also taken almost a week ago, so the numbers may have shifted yet again by Election Day.

2. Arkansas is tied, making it the only standout in an otherwise fairly solid field of Bush red. This poll was also taken almost a week ago, so the above caveat applies.

I'm not buying that Colorado will go for Kerry. I think Zogby's oversampling Democrats and overestimating the number of undecideds that will break for Kerry. Do I have any proof? Not a shred, it's my opinion only.

Another thing I'm not buying is the final projection:

Waaay too many tied states here. Also, it's assuming both Colorado and Ohio will break for Kerry. Not buying it.

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